Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 13 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 16 May 2026 at 00:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 33 recorded within 20 km of this point since 22 March 2026 — 5 others scored the same. The last comparable one was on 14 May 2026. 5 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flood Warning issued May 15 at 8:00AM EDT until May 15 at 11:00PM EDT by NWS Gray ME
An estimated 16,227 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 22 March 2026
- June 7, 2026 · score 34 · 5.6 km
- June 11, 2026 · score 34 · 11.1 km
How we know
Confirmed by 5 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 34 out of 100, at 91 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 34 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 91% |
| Coordinates | 43.8680, -71.3321 |
| Nearest City | Laconia (39 km) |
| Population Exposed | 16.2K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-05-15T16:30:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Flood Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ba2ccad141b0aa90f3711e3069fb16c7 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flood Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Cumberland, ME; Oxford, ME; Carroll, NH; Belknap, NH; Grafton, NH |
| Headline | Flood Warning issued May 15 at 8:00AM EDT until May 15 at 11:00PM EDT by NWS Gray ME |
| Expires | 2026-05-15T20:00:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Gray ME |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 2 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ba2ccad141b0aa90f3711e3069fb16c7903c1c34.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3a6511e086a74b15afadea0ce272288aa09e2018.001.1"] |
| Iem TypeSummary | R |
| Iem Magnitude | 2 |
| Iem Unit | Inch |
| Iem City | 1 NE Lovell |
| Iem County | Oxford |
| Iem State | ME |
| Iem Wfo | GYX |
| Iem Remark | Storm total. |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"iem_R_43.540_-70.850_1778869860000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1778869860000,"latitude":43.54,"longitude":-70.85},{"id":"iem_R_43.840_-71.020_1778868360000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1778868360000,"latitude":43.84,"longitude":-71.02},{"id":"iem_R_43.660_-71.720_1778867100000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1778867100000,"latitude":43.66,"longitude":-71.72},{"id":"iem_R_44.140_-70.880_1778864100000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1778864100000,"latitude":44.14,"longitude":-70.88}] |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens in this area?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 34/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.